New Modeling Data Is Out – Full COVID-19 Update

New Modeling Data Is Out – Full COVID-19 Update

Ontario’s science advisors say the fourth wave of COVID-19 infections has currently flattened in the province thanks to public health measures and immunizations. But the science table says the situation is fragile and future projections are wide-ranging. The group says there’s uncertainty in its predictions because it’s too early to see the impact of in-person schooling and work resuming, and of people possibly spending more time indoors during cold weather. Projections show daily case counts could increase next month and into November, with more than 1,000 cases if the status quo in public behaviour and policy holds, and 5,000 cases daily if transmission increases significantly.

Trudeau Talking Vaccines:

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is again reminding Canadians that encouraging people to get vaccinated is the key to beating COVID-19. He says there is a pressing need to get children between the ages of five and 11 vaccinated and that his government is ensuring that Health Canada and the immunization task force are carefully reviewing the data that comes in. The FDA in the US announced yesterday it is reviewing Pfizer data for children aged five to 11.

Prime Minister Trudeau says the most important job of his re-elected Liberal government is implementing a rule that will require most commercial travellers to be fully vaccinated against COVID-19. He used the policy partly as justification for calling the vote with two years left in his mandate, saying that Canadians needed to decide how they wanted to see the pandemic brought to an end. The vaccine mandate would cover the federal civil service, travellers in federally regulated industries including airlines, trains and cruise ships, as well as workers in those fields.

NACI Wants Booster Shots for LTC Homes Immediately:

The National Advisory Committee on Immunization wants long-term care homes to give boosters to residents immediately. The committee is concerned as the Delta variant breaks out in facilities across the country. The new guidance was released yesterday after the committee reviewed evidence of waning immunity from the vaccines among older people. A booster dose of a viral vector vaccine such as Oxford-AstraZeneca is only recommended when Pfizer or Moderna vaccines are unavailable.

Airlines Are Waiting on Ottawa:

The president of the National Airlines Council of Canada is still waiting on the details of Ottawa’s new rule requiring most commercial travellers to be fully vaccinated against COVID-19. Mike McNaney says the airlines need to understand the nuts and bolts of the plan in order to make it work and help the public with their responsibilities. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made the announcement yesterday, saying it is his re-elected Liberal government’s top priority. The vaccine mandate would cover the federal civil service, and travellers in federally regulated industries including airlines, trains and cruise ships, as well as workers in those fields.

Alberta Says No To Another Lockdown:

Alberta Premier Jason Kenney is refusing to impose a tough new lockdown to combat the ongoing surge in COVID-19 cases in his province that is pushing the health system to the brink. He said his government needs more time to see if recently announced restrictions are working, and will roll out a new ad campaign to urge people to get vaccinated. Kenney adds hospitals will soon be protected by the Critical Infrastructure Defence Act. The law protects railways, highways and pipelines from anyone trespassing, interfering with operations and construction, or causing damage. The measure is in response to protests outside hospitals earlier this month by anti-vaccination groups.

BC Introduces New Regional Restrictions:

British Columbia’s provincial health officer has announced regional restrictions in an area where COVID-19 is spiking. Doctor Bonnie Henry’s order covers the eastern Fraser Valley in Hope, Chilliwack, Abbotsford, Mission and Agassiz-Harrison. She says the dramatic rise in COVID-19 cases among children in British Columbia reflects lower vaccination rates in some communities.

Ontario Numbers:

Ontario reported 466 new COVID-19 cases yesterday and nine new deaths from the virus. Health Minister Christine Elliott says 347 of the new cases are in people who are not fully vaccinated or whose vaccination status isn’t known. The province says 180 people are in intensive due to COVID-19 at this time. It says 86 per cent of residents aged 12 and older have at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose and 80 per cent have received both shots.

Waterloo Region / WDG Numbers:

Waterloo Region Public Health announced 17 new cases yesterday and no new deaths. Active cases are now at 165 and there are 8 people hospitalized, which is a decrease of one.

There were only 6 new cases reported yesterday by the Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph Public Health Public Health Unit. Hospitalizations remained at 6 patients. There are 106 active cases.

Contains files from The Canadian Press

Photo Credit: Ontario’s Science Advisory Table

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